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Beyond God and atheism: Why I am a 'possibilian'

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When it comes to the big questions, why should we have to either deny God or believe? Surely good science doesn't so restrict us, says David Eagleman

I HAVE devoted my life to scientific pursuit. After all, if we want to crack the mysteries of our existence, there may be no better approach than to directly study the blueprints. And science over the past 400 years has been tremendously successful. We have reached the moon, eradicated smallpox, built the internet, tripled lifespans, and increasingly tapped into those mind-blowing truths around us. We've found them to be deeper and more beautiful than anyone could have guessed.

But when we reach the end of the pier of everything we know, we find that it only takes us part of the way. Beyond that all we see is uncharted water. Past the end of the pier lies all the mystery about our deeply strange existence: the equivalence of mass and energy, dark matter, multiple spatial dimensions, how to build consciousness, and the big questions of meaning and existence.

I have no doubt that we will continue to add to the pier of knowledge, appending several new slats in each generation. But we have no guarantee how far we'll get. There may be some domains beyond the tools of science - perhaps temporarily, perhaps always. We also have to acknowledge that we won't answer many of the big questions in our brief twinkling of a 21st-century lifetime: even if science can determine the correct answer, we won't get to enjoy hearing it.

This situation calls for an openness in approaching the big questions of our existence. When there is a lack of meaningful data to weigh in on a problem, good scientists are comfortable holding many possibilities at once, rather than committing to a particular story over others. In light of this, I have found myself surprised by the amount of certainty out there.

Take, for example, this decade's books by the new atheists, such as Richard Dawkins, Daniel Dennett, Sam Harris and Christopher Hitchens. Their books are brilliant and insightful, but sometimes feed a widespread misconception that scientists don't have the capacity to gambol around beyond the available data. Some readers walk away from these books with the impression that scientists think they have the big picture solved - if not in detail, at least in outline.

But good science is always open-minded, and the history of science is one of surprises and overturnings. Science is nothing but careful thinking, and careful thinking encourages an appreciation of the complexity of the world. The complexity encourages us to maintain several possibilities at once. In a single lifetime, we may have no way to remove the ambiguities from these possibilities.

A scientist may tend to favour one story over the others, but will always be careful to concede uncertainty and maintain a willingness to change the balance with new, incoming information. As an example, there are two very different interpretations about the reality underlying quantum physics. It is possible that there will be no way to ever know which is correct, or if instead some entirely new theory is correct. And that ambiguity is accepted as part of the enormity of the mysteries we face, and the terms of the agreement we have with nature.

So while there are plenty of good books by scientist-atheists, they sometimes under-emphasise the main lesson from science: that our knowledge is vastly outstripped by our ignorance. For me, a life in science prompts awe and exploration over dogmatism.

A life in science prompts awe and exploration over dogmatism

Given these considerations, I do not call myself an atheist. I don't feel that I have enough data to firmly rule out other interesting possibilities. On the other hand, I do not subscribe to any religion. Traditional religious stories can be beautiful and often crystallise hard-won wisdom - but it is hardly a challenge to poke holes in them. Religious structures are built by humans and brim with all manner of strange human claims - they often reflect cults of personality, xenophobia or mental illness. The holy books of these religions were written millennia ago by people who never had the opportunity to know about DNA, other galaxies, information theory, electricity, the big bang, the big crunch, or even other cultures, literatures or landscapes.

So it seems we know too little to commit to strict atheism, and too much to commit to any religion. Given this, I am often surprised by the number of people who seem to possess total certainty about their position. I know a lot of atheists who seethe at the idea of religion, and religious followers who seethe at the idea of atheism - but neither group is bothering with more interesting ideas. They make their impassioned arguments as though the God versus no-God dichotomy were enough for a modern discussion.

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Comments 1 | 2 | 3 | 4

No Contradiction

Mon Sep 27 05:57:47 BST 2010 by Stan M Horszowski

I expected a lot of crusaders from both sides of the religion-atheism divide to comment , but I am proved wrong.

I , for one , as a scientist , find there is no need to choose between the two , because they are not in contradiction in my set of beliefs .

No Contradiction

Tue Sep 28 13:40:37 BST 2010 by ET

Why not entertain the possibility of extra-terrestrial life? Arthur C Clarke said that the technology of an advanced civilisation would be indistinguishable from magic. Advanced ETs coming to this planet during our formative years and 'lording it over us' would have been treated like God.

Could this explain the Mahabaharat and other tails, ancient Greek and Celt Gods, Peruvian sky paintings etc?

Why are people routinely laughed out of the room for this effectively, scientists can be paid up members of an organised cult effectively believing in the tooth fairy.

I saw an interesting news item on Russia Today about aliens interfering with our nukes. All ex-officers from 1960s to present with sworn affidavits

No Contradiction

Tue Sep 28 17:03:59 BST 2010 by Lee Borrell
http://leebor2.741.com/atheism.html

I am afraid there are many contradictions and arguments that mean that science is incompatible with God.Any scientists who says "I believe in God" is not a scientist,for all the evidence shows there is no such thing,no need for such thing,and worse,by accepting it you are denying a fundamental premise of science....requirement of proof and evidence beyond a reasonable doubt.

The default position should be atheism - if anyone thinks they can prove God from there - they are welcome to try - and fail - as others have.

http://www.godisimaginary.com

Try the above and see if your beliefs still hold.

No Contradiction

Tue Sep 28 17:25:29 BST 2010 by Pax

Like Einstein said, "I beleve God is the laws of physics" or words to that effect. In which case it is impossible to deny the existence of God. And science and the quest for knowledge is seeking to understand God.

Though the atheist position is understandable as a reaction to seeing God, the creator of the universe, in the likeness of man. That surely comes from the egocentric mindset and unsurprisingly leads to disagreements, and conflict, not to mention standing in the way of knowledge.

No Contradiction

Tue Sep 28 18:20:28 BST 2010 by Jedi

Yes, I agree with that Einstein quote but it on the other hand, it is too anthropomorthic. He/it is the original absent parent! - unless the laws and us too are being continually tinkered with. Please, by the scientific method, ask if the laws are changing, if it is at the whim of some intelligent being and how much the effect is. Ask too, if we are created in his image whether if this is some universal invariant like all the humanoid english speaking aliens we see on Star Trek.

I don't know why "scientists" can believe in a God or religion yet pooh-pooh those who believe that miracles in the his-story of the Torah, Bible and other books weren't caused by dumbstruck humans interacting with Aliens and their high technology or phenomenom (or other natural phenomena).

Burning bushes, people being raised from the dead, chariots of fire, incredibly wise intelligent beings (angels, prophets) being explained by an ET hypothesis is more scientific than the toothfairy.

There is a tribe in Papua New Guinea that regard prince philip as a god, for Brian's sake! (Um big man come in um big silver bird).

One line of enquiry could lead somewhere and has the beginings of a science, the other requires "faith".

Come next year's census I'm a Jedi.

It happened a long, long, time ago in a place far, far away. The founder, George Lucas is jewish (I think), it tackles good and bad, has meditation, followers and is revered in a bound 6 DVD-boxed-edition with roman numerals enumerating the chapters. It has all the elements of a religion.

What, Or Which, God?

Mon Sep 27 16:52:59 BST 2010 by Grant Thompson
http://xoomer.alice.it/interference/

I think most atheists are rejecting the religious account of the world, rather than claiming knowledge where none exists. I call myself an atheist because I am as certain as I can be of anything that religion is false. Calling myself agnostic would suggest that I'm leaving room for religion to sneak back in. I am an atheist because I have no gods, not because I know the secrets of the universe.

With respect, 'possibilian' is a hideous neologism that really doesn't communicate anything.

What, Or Which, God?

Tue Sep 28 00:25:38 BST 2010 by J B

Well said. Trying to say that science often allows multiple possibilities is true, but only on the basis that each of those possibilities has come from reasoned thought and has not been clearly disproved.

I think this article was very poorly written, but I do agree with the theme that we know very little of what there is to be known.

Perhaps multiple universes exist over time, with each appearing in a big-bang and disappearing billions of years later in a big-crunch. And perhaps each of these events is equivalent to a synapse firing, and over trillions of years these equate to a thought of some sentient lifeform who's lifetime spans a sextillion years.

But even if that were the case, I doubt it would care whether I covet my neighbours ass.

A Confusing Article

Mon Sep 27 17:08:58 BST 2010 by Maarten

Mr Eagleman holds a confused position about matters. Privately I suspect him to be inflicted with religious notions which he, at this moment in time, is still unable to put behind him fully; thus preventing him from embracing the fact that he simply is, for all intents and purposes, either a religious persion or an atheist. But that is a private notion.

The following is not. Atheism, to recap briefly, is simply lack of belief in gods. If you lack belief in gods, you are an atheist, plain and simple. Instead, the OP positions atheism as a sort of different religion located as a dot on a map of a still vastly uncharted landscape. He doesn't seem to realise that even if we were created by alien civilisations in the 9th exodimension, it wouldn't at all invalidate the position of the atheist. The discovery of dark energy is too not an invalidation of the position of the atheist. And so forth. On the other hand, the discovery that we are the result of a computer simulation of those beings in the 9th exodimension will be a crushing blow *again* to all major religions on Earth. (Still, people will continue to believe whatever fairy tale most appeals to them, to paraphrase stand-up comedian Dara O'Briain in his most excellent 'Talks Funny' show. Watch it on Youtube.)

"They make their impassioned arguments as though the God versus no-God dichotomy were enough for a modern discussion."

It is Mr Eagleman who fails to understand what the dichotomy is about. The dichotomy is not about 'possibilities'. It is about the definitions, and actions of beings we losely call 'gods'. It is not about ignoring the possibility that we are created by aliens in the 9th exodimension.

"Possibilianism does not suggest free rein to believe whatever strikes one's fancy. It is not tantamount to "anything goes".

So Mr Eagleman is, basically, already striking off 'lunatic ideas' as being, well, too lunatic or even impossible to current standards. That's having your cake and eating it too: he is, after all, making that statement based on scientific facts about the world around us, and so concedes that there are some ways ('tools', if you will) with which to separate good from bad ideas. The vast majority of these ideas can be labelled immediately as 'not even crap'; a very small amount is testable with our current knowledge; and the rest will just have to be, well, a possibility. But since we have no way to apply the tools of reason and science to those 'possibilities', they will for now have to serve as subject matter at parties at around 3 AM, when copious amounts of alcohol have been consumed.

If Mr Eagleman can show me other means than scientific endeavour to arrive at objectively valid statements about these 'possibilities', I'll be willing to entertain the idea of 'possibilianism'. For now, I'll add every weird 'possibility' to a growing mental list for when I *am* at a party and need some material to rekindle the discussion, and stick to 'atheism' as this is a much better and clearer label of my opinion on matters.

A Confusing Article

Tue Sep 28 08:49:44 BST 2010 by kenny p

Well done Maarten. I know New Scientist is trying to fuel the debate, which is fair enough, but this article is poorly thought out. As others have commented atheism is just not believing in magic sky fairies. So what this article is realy saying is that he is an atheist but he dosn't like to be called on. How bizarre!

A Confusing Article

Wed Sep 29 13:01:26 BST 2010 by Hairy Dan

Well said Maarten. I can't really see what distinguishes a "possibilian" from an agnostic. The difference between an agnostic / "possibilian" and an atheist is that an atheist recognises there is no more need to stress that there *might* be a god than that there might be fairies at the bottom of the garden (or a flying spaghetti monster, cosmic teapot etc. etc.) - there has to come a point when saying "well there still *might* be" is just silly. Like Maarten, I suspect that David Eagleman is motivated by a subconscious reluctance to make a clear break with a religious background - his use of the term "the new atheists" (a misleading label often used by the religious side of the debate but never, as far as I am aware, by the people it is supposed to refer to) supports this view

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The origin of the cosmos still lies among the many mysteries facing humans (Image: N.Smith (University of California, Berkley) and NOAO/Aura/NSF)

The origin of the cosmos still lies among the many mysteries facing humans (Image: N.Smith (University of California, Berkley) and NOAO/Aura/NSF)

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