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62
35
Research 2000. 07/13-07/16
MoE 2%.
More poll results here.
NH-Sen 07/16
OH-Gov 07/10
OH-Sen 07/10
OR-Gov 06/25
HI-Gov 06/19
HI-Sen 06/19
VA-Gov 06/18
(More...)
 

Michael Steele: Did He Or Didn't He?

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 10:30:03 AM PDT

Yesterday, RNC Chairman Michael Steele continued to litter the airways with his scripted attacks on health care reform, this time on CNN, where he explained his "firsthand experience" as a small business owner:

I have health care through this -- through the RNC.

But I was a small businessman and had to pay for this myself at one time, so I can tell you from firsthand experience what it's like to be able to go into this market and have to spend over $20,000 a year to provide health care for my family. So I understand the cost side of it. I also...

But this pulling up his own bootstraps story contradicts what Steele was saying in 2006 about his one and only foray into the world of self-employment:

Since 1999, after he'd left his last job, as a lawyer, Steele had been trying to start a consulting business. [...]

With little money coming in from the business, Steele has said, he drained retirement accounts. He told an audience in a recent speech that his family went without health insurance for three years.

"Don't break anything, because Daddy can't afford to fix it," he recalled telling his sons then.

On Nov. 5, 2002, Steele's election win erased all that. His current job pays $120,000 a year. A rocketing political career had finally made a struggling business one irrelevant.

So either Michael Steele had "firsthand experience" at spending $20,000 a year to provide health insurance for his family as a small business owner, or he was telling his kids not to break any bones because they couldn't afford to have them fixed.

Which is it? Did he pay $20,000 for insurance while self-employed, or did he go without insurace for three years, only to have his (and his family's ) ass saved by a government insurance plan?

DeMint takes the bait: "We've got to stop the President"

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 09:56:03 AM PDT

Jim DeMint defends his Waterloo remark, saying that Republicans should oppose health care reform in order to hurt President Obama politically:

DeMint doesn't realize it, but far from stopping the President, he's actually helping make the case that Republicans aren't really concerned with health care -- they only care about politics.

:::

Transcript:

President Obama, July 20, 2009:

Just the other day, one Republican senator said -- and I'm quoting him now -- "If we're able to stop Obama on this, it will be his Waterloo. It will break him."

Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC), the very next day, speaking to WIS-TV in South Carolina:

We have to stop him on this issue, otherwise this stampede is going to continue.

We've got to stop the President on this.

I think we have to stop what the President's doing. If not, he'll go straight from this health care takeover to this cap and trade energy tax which he has up next.

President Obama, July 20, 2009:

This isn't about me.

This isn't about politics. This is about a health care system that is breaking America's families, breaking America's businesses, and breaking America's economy, and we can't afford the politics of delay and defeat when it comes to health care. Not this time, not now.

Race tracker wiki: SC-SEN

Mark Sanford’s back, and he’s as awkward as ever

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 09:20:03 AM PDT

After three weeks away from the media, South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford stepped in front of the cameras again on Tuesday morning, giving a press conference punctuated by a series of long, uncomfortable pauses.

Here’s an edited version of the press conference, focusing on those strange stretches of silence:

If you’d like to see Sanford’s full answers, you can view them at Daily Kos TV.

Race tracker wiki: SC-GOV

AHIP Using Familiar Playbook in Fighting Reform

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 08:42:03 AM PDT

With the release of AHIP's major advertising effort aimed at derailing the fast-tracked healthcare reform train, more attention is being payed to their role in killing healthcare reform back in 1994 (remember Harry and Louise?) and their major pushback against Michael Moore's film, SiCKO.

Think Progress reports that memos leaked to PBS by former CIGNA executive Wendell Potter show just how closely their fight against Moore mirrors their attempt to kill the public option in healthcare reform now.

Now, as Congress moves into high-gear for reforming health care, AHIP appears be positioning itself to defeat a public option by using the same playbook they used against Moore in 2007. The AHIP anti-Moore memo similarly states:

Define the Health Insurance Industry as Part of the Solution ... Spread the word about ‘proactive solutions’ for health care ... Highlight the value of managed care ... A Debate We Can Win: Improving U.S. System Versus Enacting Government-Run Care

This week, AHIP released a new feel-good ad that posits private insurance as the cure to America’s health care crisis, along with a statement reaffirming that Congress must enact reform "without creating a government run plan" to compete with insurers. Similar to its message against Moore, the narrator for the new AHIP ad declares that "we’re America’s Health Insurance Companies, supporting bipartisan reforms....

A central strategy of the anti-Moore memo is described as: "Focus on Our Reform Proposals While Patients and Allies Make the Case Against Government-Run Care." The allies were instructed to "showcase victims and horrors of government-run systems" and "bring victims of single-payer systems to the US for a media tour." Indeed, while AHIP has made significant efforts this year to portray itself as "for reform" without a public option, it has left allied groups to do the dirty work.

Along with their happy, pablum ads, AHIP is putting out a lot of disinformation in the debate, as a terrific article in WaPo details.

[T]he leader of the health insurance lobby has sent lawmakers a message: Be careful what you change, because "77 percent of Americans are satisfied with their existing health insurance coverage."

Karen Ignagni, president of America's Health Insurance Plans (AHIP), invoked the statistic to argue against the creation of a government-run health insurance option. But the polls aren't that simple, and her assertion reveals how the industry's effort to defend its turf has led it to cherry-pick the facts.

The poll Ignagni was citing actually undercuts her position: By 72 to 20 percent, Americans favor the creation of a public health insurance plan, the June survey by the New York Times and CBS News found. People also said they thought government would do a better job than private insurers of holding down health-care costs and providing medical coverage....

The industry's stance against a public health plan revives shades of 1994, when it was instrumental in blocking President Bill Clinton's health-care proposals.

"A government-run plan would turn back the clock on efforts to improve the quality and safety of patient care," AHIP has argued. Such a plan "will ultimately limit choices and access," the big insurer WellPoint contends.

But systemic problems have persisted over the past 15 years, and it isn't clear how much private insurers have done, or can do, to solve them.

"Health plans have implemented programs that are driving innovation, promoting quality and value, and helping to bring efficiency and cost savings to the health-care delivery system," AHIP spokesman Robert Zirkelbach said.

Alan Sager, a professor of health policy and management at Boston University, sees it differently.

"Insurers promise choice, they promise innovation, they promise a lot of things, but I think they've delivered very little," Sager said. "I think net they give us very bad value for the 10 to 20 percent share of the health dollar they skim off the top."

Instead of choice, they offer "the illusion of choice," he said.

The entire article is worth reading, as it debunks point by point the inconsistencies and half-truths in AHIP's efforts against a public option in healthcare reform. AHIP is well practiced at this, since they've been at it since 1994. But after 15 years of this, is the American public really going to buy the idea that they have choice, access, or health security with the status quo.

What a surprise! More gun amendments.

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 08:02:03 AM PDT

The Senate is set to vote today on an amendment to the defense authorization bill by Sen. John Thune (R-SD) requiring reciprocity among the states for concealed carry weapons permits issued in other sister states.

However you view the substance of the amendment, Roll Call ($) got right to the real crux of things with this headline:

Senate Democrats Once Again Vexed by Guns

That's the heart of the matter for me. I can understand and even sympathize with the movement of Democrats towards a more gun-friendly position as a party, especially as they welcome more Mountain and Western Dems into the fold. Being more open to common sense gun law reforms is arguably an important part of the formula that puts the Democratic Party on the rise while Republicans collapse under the weight of their slavish devotion to insane wingnut paranoia and the generalized rejection of science and reason.

The problem is that even as they do collapse, Republicans are making a real habit of bringing gun riders to the floor, both in the House and in the Senate. And that's probably because we're making a real habit of sustaining their hopes of passing them and/or embarrassing us, by constantly releasing wobbly Dems to "vote their districts" (or states, in the case of the Senate). Like I said, I can understand and sympathize with the desire to get Dems out of the way of common sense gun law reforms. But diving out of the way of any amendment that brings up the "g word" isn't any kind of exercise in common sense.

Common sense is not putting the federal government in the way of responsible gun ownership by individuals and responsible gun regulation by state and local governments. And yes, "responsible," in the case of state and local governments, means living within the bounds of the Constitution as determined by the federal courts. That's the check they have to live with. Not only that, but common sense can also mean, depending on exactly what you're talking about, affirmatively liberalizing federal restrictions on firearms.

What's not common sense, though, is leveraging the gun sensitivities of federal legislators to wrest control of state gun laws away from state legislators. Reciprocity's not some unknown, exotic concept just recently invented by John Thune. It's something every state legislature knows about and considers in any number of contexts, including gun law, as evidenced by the fact that yes, some states have actually entered into reciprocity agreements and/or opted to honor the concealed carry permits of other states.

Others, though they've stood for election and had their tenure in office ratified by the voters of their states and legislative districts, have not. And apparently, this greatly displeases a Senator from South Dakota. And so it must change.

Is it a good idea that it change? Well, views on that can vary. Four hundred fifty or so mayors from across the country certainly don't think so. But what really needs to change is the idea that the "g word" can scare Democrats into overcompensating, scrambling out of the way of any gun rider that presents itself, and then finding important legislation that was meant to do something completely different either losing support or stalling and dying (as has so far been the case with the DC voting rights bill) because of the division over guns and what's "common sense" about their regulation.

In other words, there's a very heavy procedural cost to allowing these sorts of votes to be viewed as solely about the politics of guns, and not about the politics of controlling your own agenda. There are times that the minority is going to be able to push you back on your heels. That may be inevitable, and you have to roll with the punches when it happens. But the fear of gun politics is doing much, much more than changing gun laws. It's actually creating a new procedural weapon the dwindling, dead-ender rump of the formerly national Republican Party can use to derail the agenda of a Democratic Party that holds the White House and a (technical) supermajority in the Senate.

Must the leadership from time to time release members to "vote their districts" on tough issues? Absolutely. And admittedly, each time you do it, it becomes increasingly difficult to argue against doing it again.

And might not a vote like this one, which will be required to meet the 60-vote threshold to pass, be a shrewd place for the leadership to allow members to stray, so that they can satisfy gun rights advocates at home (or in this case, in other states as well), but still likely not succeed in making any substantive change to current law? Sure. But that's the short-term view of it. Release some number of Dems less than 20 and you can do just what I described, at least for right now. But then you have 19 or so Senators who've taken advantage of the freebie vote now on record in favor of such a measure. Should the composition of the Senate ever change such that the vote isn't a freebie, those Senators are compromised on the issue and will be hard-pressed to vote against it later, if need be. If they were instead on record as supporting common sense gun laws in theory but also caucus unity in the face of the rash of "how far can we push 'em?" non-germane gun riders, we'd stand a far better chance of actually requiring some common sense in those common sense gun laws everyone says they want.

I mean, have a hearing. Take a good look at what this thing might really mean. Don't just let the minority slap a "gun" sticker on your bill and demand that you genuflect.

It's more than a little ironic, not to mention embarrassing, to constantly be getting slapped around on "self-defense" issues, don't you think?

If you do, you might consider checking with your Senators to get their views. In particular, Senators Bayh, Bennet, Collins, Conrad, Feingold, Hagan, Klobuchar, Kohl, Landrieu, Lincoln, McCain, McCaskill, Bill Nelson, Pryor, Reid, Snowe, Specter, Mark Udall, Tom Udall, Voinovich, Warner and Webb.

“He is meeting his Waterloo as we speak”

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 07:18:03 AM PDT

Dick Morris, much to the White House's delight, pushes the GOP's DeMinted "Waterloo" line of attack:

He’s desperate to get cap-and-trade and health reform through as fast as he can, until he becomes too politically impotent. ... And I believe he is meeting his Waterloo as we speak. ... Until now he’s never lost a battle. After this, he may never win one.

Leave it to Dick Morris to attack someone else for allegedly being impotent.

Today in Congress

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 06:27:50 AM PDT

In the House, courtesy of the Office of the Majority Leader:

FLOOR SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY, JULY 22, 2009

House Meets At... 10:00 a.m.: Legislative Business
Fifteen "One Minutes" Per Side
6:00 – 7:00 p.m.

H.R. 2920 - Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2009 (Reps. Hoyer/Spratt – Budget) (Subject to a Rule)

Suspensions (5 Bills)

  1. H.Res. 654 - Honoring the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe Mediterranean Partners for Cooperation (Rep. Hastings (FL) - Foreign Affairs)
  2. H.Res. 538 - Resolution supporting Olympic Day and encouraging the International Olympic Committee to select Chicago, Illinois, as the host city for the 2016 Olympic and Paralympic Games (Rep. Schakowsky - Foreign Affairs)
  3. H.Res. 285 - Congratulating the people of the Republic of Lithuania for its 1000th anniversary and celebrating the rich history of Lithuania (Rep. Shimkus - Foreign Affairs)
  4. H.R. 1511 - Torture Victims Relief Reauthorization Act of 2009 (Rep. Smith (NJ) - Foreign Affairs)
  5. H.Res. 519- Expressing appreciation to the people and Government of Canada for their long history of friendship and cooperation with the people and Government of the United States (Rep. Stupak - Foreign Affairs)

Dispose of H.Res. __ - Raising a question of privileges of the House (Rep. Flake – Privileged Resolution)

Postponed Suspension Votes (8 Bills)

  1. H.R. 1675 - Frank Melville Supportive Housing Investment Act of 2009 (Rep. Murphy (CT) - Financial Services)
  2. H.R. 2938 - To extend the deadline for commencement of construction of a hydroelectric project (Rep. Costello - Energy and Commerce)
  3. H.Res. 69 - Recognizing the need to continue research into the causes, treatment, education, and an eventual cure for diabetes (Rep. Baca - Energy and Commerce)
  4. H.R. 3119 - To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 867 Stockton Street in San Francisco, California, as the "Lim Poon Lee Post Office" (Rep. Pelosi - Oversight and Government Reform)
  5. H.Res. 534 - Supporting the goals and ideals of "National Children and Families Day" (Rep. Edwards (MD) - Oversight and Government Reform)
  6. H.R. 2972 - To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 115 West Edward Street in Erath, Louisiana, as the "Conrad DeRouen, Jr. Post Office" (Rep. Boustany - Oversight and Government Reform)
  7. H.Res. 566 - Congratulating the 2008-2009 National Basketball Association Champions, the Los Angeles Lakers, on an outstanding and historic season (Rep. Waters - Oversight and Government Reform)
  8. H.Res. 350 - Honoring the life and accomplishments of Harry Kalas for his invaluable contributions to the national past-time of baseball, the community, and the Nation (Rep. Sestak - Oversight and Government Reform)

In the Senate, courtesy of the Secretary of the Senate:

Convenes: 9:30am

Resume consideration of S.1390, the Department of Defense Authorization bill, with the time until 12:00 o’clock for debate on the Thune amendment relating to carry conceal. At 12 o’clock, the Senate will proceed to a roll call vote in relation to the Thune amendment (60-votes in the affirmative required for adoption).

At 2:00pm, there will be a live quorum with respect to the Court of Impeachment of Samuel B. Kent. Senators should be on the floor at 2:00pm for the live quorum.

Committee events of note:

  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. House Energy & Commerce Committee: H.R. 3200, The America's Affordable Health Choices Act Of 2009 Markup, Day 5
  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. House Financial Services Committee: Regulatory Perspectives on the Obama Administration’s Financial Regulatory Reform Proposals
  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. House Foreign Affairs Committee: Iran: Recent Developments and Implications for U.S. Policy
  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. House Judiciary Subcommittee on Commercial and Administrative Law: Ramifications of Auto Industry Bankruptcies, Part III
  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. House Natural Resources Committee: Full committee markup: H.R. 2499: To provide for a federally sanctioned self-determination process for the people of Puerto Rico. "Puerto Rico Democracy Act of 2009"
  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. Senate Agriculture Committee: The Role of Agriculture and Forestry in Global Warming Legislation. Tom Vilsack, Secretary of Agriculture; Lisa Jackson, Administrator Environmental Protection Agency; John Holdren, Director, White House Office of Science & Technology
  • Wed., 7/22, 10am. Senate Banking, Housing & Urban Affairs Committee: The Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. Ben Bernanke, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Wed., 7/22, 2pm. House Financial Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations: TARP Oversight: Warrant Repurchases and Protecting Taxpayers
  • Wed., 7/22, 3:15pm. House Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Drugs: Markup: H.R. 3245, the "Fairness in Cocaine Sentencing Act of 2009"

A Wednesday full of suspensions with a full appropriations plate still waiting and a recess fast approaching means something's gone at least slightly amiss. We're heading into consideration of what's traditionally among the most contentious appropriations fights -- that is, Labor/HHS, schedule for tomorrow -- with another big ticket one (Transportation/HUD) up today. And the Rules Committee delayed its hearing on the statutory PAYGO bill yesterday, too. It all may be just a series of unfortunate but unconnected circumstances, of course. [Late update: PAYGO is on the floor as scheduled, just slightly delayed in Rules for consideration of a last-minute tune up, in the form of a substitute.] But appropriations bills have been very contentious this year because Democrats have kept a tight lid on amendments, with an eye toward finishing up all the bills on a strict schedule this year. To lose a Wednesday work day in the middle of this schedule, then, seems at least a little more than slightly unusual. And that's not even to mention the cancellation -- for the second day in a row -- of the Energy & Commerce Committee's markup of the health care bill.

In the Senate, though, losing time is a way of life. We're still on the defense authorization bill over there, with the bulk of the attention for the day on yet another non-germane Republican gun amendment, this time the concealed carry reciprocity proposal from John Thune (R-SD). Seems they're making a real habit of bringing gun riders. Probably because we're making a real habit of sustaining their hopes of passing them and/or embarrassing us, by constantly releasing wobbly Dems to "vote their districts" (or states, in the case of the Senate). I can understand and sympathize with the desire to get Dems out of the way of common sense gun law reforms. But diving out of the way of any amendment that brings up the "g word" isn't any kind of exercise in common sense.

Plenty to follow in committee today, including still more health care work in the House Energy & Commerce Committee. And still no such work in the Senate Finance Committee. Remember when everyone was supposed to have their eye on Max Baucus? Where is that guy?

Full committee schedule appears below.

Cheers and Jeers: Wednesday

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 05:56:50 AM PDT

From the GREAT STATE OF MAINE...

Bush, Cheney Confirm: America Not Safer

In a desperate attempt to salvage their legacy, private citizens George W. Bush and Dick Cheney insist they made America safer in the wake of the attacks of 9/11. Never mind that those attacks happened on their watch despite urgent warnings from some very smart counterterrorism experts.

But there's a bit of evidence that stares us in the face every day and proves that they, in fact, did not make us safer. And it's something of their own making. I'm referring, of course, to the color-coded terror threat level advisory system that was unveiled six months after the twin towers fell.

For 2,688 days, the colorful public face of the Department of Homeland Security has kept us advised of how afraid we should be of another attack by al Qaeda. When the system was put in place, we set the bar at Yellow---"Elevated Risk---Significant risk of terrorist attacks." Or, in laymen's terms: Keep your eyes open---we are not safe.

It bounced back and forth between Yellow and Orange ("High risk of terrorist attacks" or "Really good chance we're about to get fucked again") ten times in its first two years. That was understandable, because we were in the process---or so we were told by Mr. Bush and Mr. Cheney---of securing our ports and railroads and airspace, modernizing our intelligence-gathering operations, and tightening the defenses around our chemical plants and other vulnerable components of our vital national infrastructure. (They couldn't possibly have raised the alerts for political gain...because that would be wrong.)

So did they make us safer? Nope. When they slunk out of D.C. in January, we were still stuck at Yellow. They had so little confidence in their ability to secure the country that they never once lowered the threat level to Blue ("Guarded"---General risk of terrorist attacks). Not even for five minutes. And they sure as hell never came close to making America safe enough for us to enjoy a feeling of real security by bumping us down to level Green ("Low risk of terrorist attacks").

It's right there in living color. The Bush administration, by its own standard, did not make America safer, no matter how many times Liz Cheney snarls otherwise on cable TV. In fact, they kept us so unsafe that, six months after their exit, we're still at Yellow.

Just wanted to clear that up for the historians. Here endeth the debate.

P.S. The risk in the airline sector went up from Yellow to Orange in 2006, and it's been stuck there ever since. Heckuva job.

Cheers and Jeers starts in There's Moreville... [Swoosh!!] RIGHTNOW! [Gong!!]

Poll

Which nightly newscast did you watch most in 1981, which was the year Cronkite retired?

33% 2122 votes
7% 467 votes
8% 527 votes
11% 731 votes
24% 1557 votes
13% 876 votes
1% 107 votes

| 6387 votes | Vote | Results

Open Thread

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 05:44:01 AM PDT

Blah blah.

Abbreviated Pundit Round-Up

Wed Jul 22, 2009 at 02:30:02 AM PDT

Your one stop pundit shop.

Maureen Dowd gets serious about America's twin addictions - driving and talking on the phone.

Michael Gerson thinks that moderate Democrats are just swell when it comes to their obstruction of health care reform.

Harold Meyerson slams the Blue Dogs (Mr. Gerson, take notes):

Watching the centrist Democrats in Congress create more and more reasons why health care can't be fixed, I've been struck by a disquieting thought: Suppose our collective lack of response to Hurricane Katrina wasn't exceptional but, rather, the new normal in America. Suppose we can no longer address the major challenges confronting the nation. Suppose America is now the world's leading can't-do country.  [...]

Centrist Democrats' opposition to health reform verges on the incoherent ... Why Democrats of any ideology want to cripple their own president in his first year in office, and for seeking an objective that has been a stated goal of their party since the Truman administration, is a more mysterious matter.

Bobby Jindal, noted hypocrite, wants to tell you how we can have bipartisan health care reform. And he begins this bipartisan push by saying:

The left in Washington has concluded that honesty will not yield its desired policy result. So it resorts to a fundamentally dishonest approach to reform. I say this because the marketing of the Democrats’ plans as presented in the House of Representatives and endorsed heartily by President Obama rests on three falsehoods.

James Taranto, drawing on his own experience with the police, explains why Henry Louis Gates shouldn't have gotten "belligerent" and how he "handled the situation poorly." Seriously.

Carol Rose, writing about the arrest of Henry Louis Gates, says we're a long way from a post-racial society and that:

A review of the police report suggests that the police officer arrested Gates not because he mistook Gates for a robber but because Gates condemned the behavior of the officer as racist. His offending remark reportedly was, “This is what happens to black men in America.’’

That’s not disorderly conduct; that’s speaking truth to power - which still isn’t a crime in America.

Monica Crowley peddles some gossip, reads Hillary Clinton's mind, and then explains exactly what HRC will be doing in 2012 to get her revenge against Barack Obama.

Open Thread and Diary Rescue

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 08:16:05 PM PDT

Tonight's Rescue brought to you by shayera, grog, Elise, blank frank, YatPundit, vcmvo2, jlms qkw, and pico.

Diary Rescue is all about promoting good writers, so remember to subscribe to diarists whose work you enjoy reading.

jotter has High Impact Diaries: July 20, 2009.

brillig has Top Comments - Good News Edition.

Please suggest your own favorites from the last 24 hours, and use as an open thread.

Polling and Political Wrap-Up, 7/21/09

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 07:26:04 PM PDT

A smorgasbord of campaign news on this Tuesday evening--some new polling data, some people jumping into new races, and some familiar faces making their political returns.

LA-Sen: Vitter Leading, But Underwhelming, In New Senate Poll
As teased yesterday, PPP polls the state of Louisiana, and they find David Vitter in a somewhat compromising (electoral) position for 2010. Vitter sits at just 44% of the vote, either against a generic Democrat (where the margin is 44-38) or possible Democratic candidate Charlie Melancon (where the margin is 44-32). His re-elect numbers are pretty abysmal, all-in-all: 38% would vote to re-elect, while 47% are willing to look around. Melancon, the Congressman from Southern Louisiana, is expected to make an announcement about his 2010 plans within the next few weeks.

IL-Gov: Kennedy May Be Considering Jumping Races
After a couple of months of speculation about a potential bid for the U.S. Senate, we might be finally understanding the reluctance of Merchandise Mart CEO Chris Kennedy. He may be considering another race: the gubernatorial race in 2010. That might be prompted by two facts: Alexi Giannoulias announced an impressive seven-figure haul for the second quarter, and he had already notched several endorsements, including three members of Congress. Kennedy's spokesperson will only say that he is "keeping his options open.

IL-10: Dan Seals Declares That He Is Ready For Round #3
After two spirited (and close) runs for Congress against incumbent Republican Mark Kirk, Democrat Dan Seals is back for a third shot at this Northern Illinois district. Seals is likely to be the favorite for the Democratic primary, and has to be a narrow favorite for the general election in a district where home-state hero Barack Obama took 61% of the vote. The Democratic primary got a little less complicated for Seals when state Senator Susan Garrett announced yesterday that she will not be a candidate in 2010. Seals' main Democratic opponent appears to be state Senator Michael Bond.

PA-Gov: Quinnipiac Has Clear GOP Leader; General Elex A Toss-Up
Undecided is the runaway leader in the Democratic primary, while Republican state Attorney General Tom Corbett has a sizeable early lead in the GOP primary over Congressman Jim Gerlach and former US Attorney Pat Meehan, according to new data from Quinnipiac. Quinnipiac, given the scant name recognition for any of the Democrats, went generic for a ballot test for the general election. In that test, the outcome was a pure coin flip, as the GOP got 38% of the vote while the Democrats got 37%. In other news from the poll, Governor Ed Rendell's job approval has cratered--down to just 39% of Pennsylvania voters. No Senate data was released from this poll, at least none today.

NY-Sen: Good News/Bad News Week Thus Far For Challenger
Carolyn Maloney, the Democratic Congressman who is likely to challenge Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, has had an interesting week. On the plus side, the much-anticipated fundraiser with President Bill Clinton (a "thank you" for Maloney's support for HRC last year) came to pass last night, raising over a quarter-million dollars for Maloney. On the negative side, she has spent most of the week walking back her use of the "n-word" in a sloppy retelling of a conversation she had with someone angered with Gillibrand's position on English-only education.

IA-Gov: Culver Draws New GOP Challenger
This afternoon, a new Republican name surfaced in the 2010 Governor's Race in Iowa, one with a record of attracting Democratic votes. State legislator Rod Roberts, a minister, announced his bid for Governor. Roberts is in his fifth term in the state House, representing a district with a Democratic registration advantage. Culver is likely to seek re-election. As with other Governors of both parties around the country, Culver's poll numbers have taken a little bit of a beating over the last twelve months.

VA-11: Rematch Setting Up in Swing District In NoVa
Freshman Democrat Gerry Connolly will have a familiar-looking opponent in 2010: businessman Keith Fimian is talking rematch in 2010. Fimian was a self-funder, matching Connolly dollar-for-dollar in 2008. Connolly, propelled by a big Obama lead over John McCain in NoVa, defeated Fimian by twelve points (55-43) in the open-seat battle to replace retiring Republican Tom Davis.

AL-05: GOP Challenger Pays Hefty Price For Some Love From Huck
Some comic relief to close out the night: it was a tough fundraising quarter for Republican Les Phillip, who is planning a challenge to freshman Democrat Parker Griffith in Huntsville's Alabama 5th district. Phillip raised less than $20,000 for the quarter. On its own, that would be bad enough news. Where the story really becomes tragicomedic is in the fact that Phillip spent more than double that amount on his big fundraising event for the quarter, featuring an endorsement from Republican 2008 presidential contender Mike Huckabee. Included in the expenses was a cool speaking fee of nearly "4,000 for the Huck. Huckabee's daughter, who runs his PAC, later said that the endorsement of Phillip was not related to the speaking fee. It is still, to say the least, a tad unusual as a campaign tactic.

Race tracker wiki: NY-Sen IA-Gov VA-11 PA-Gov LA-Sen IL-10

Really, Michael?

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 06:40:05 PM PDT

For the you-can't-make-this-stuff-up file:

I’m the first one to say that the party, for political expedience and convenience, quite frankly, didn’t do the hard, steady work of building a ground game and a relationship with the voters.

So along comes Barack Obama, he sounds good, he looks great, it’s a beautiful package, and then we had no filler. We had nothing to fall back on.

We couldn’t even argue the basics of the economy in the last election effectively, and it took a happenstance conversation with a plumber before we could really begin to get that groove.

Comedy. Michael Steele is telling us that the Republican Party was adrift, lost, and unable to connect with the voters until they hooked up with a dishonest, uninformed, hypocritic, who attacked the patriotism of others, spewed homophobic garbage, all while admitting how horny he was.

And then they lost another election.

Of course, you can appreciate why Mr. Steele would think such qualities are major selling points - after all, it's like looking into the mirror of today's Republican Party.

Open Thread

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 06:36:02 PM PDT

Blah blah.

Who do you trust on ... ?

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 05:56:05 PM PDT

After yesterday's media-wide frenzy to report the demise of the Obama presidency, Matthew Yglesias offers a simple chart:

trust

Jindal doles out stimulus dollars, claims credit

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 05:10:04 PM PDT

Jindal hold check
Bobby Jindal holds a "check" sending stimulus dollars to Vernon Parrish in Louisiana.
:::

Think Progress flags a gem from America's leading "anti-stimulus" governor:

Jindal traveled to Anacoco, Louisiana to present a jumbo-sized check to residents of Vernon Parish. The funds included hundreds of thousands of dollars directly from the Recovery Act — at least $157,848 in Community Block Grant money authorized by the Recovery Act and $138,611 for Byrne/JAG job training programs created by the Recovery Act. Rather than credit the federal government or the Recovery Act he opposed, Jindal printed his own name on the corner of the massive check.

This is just the latest example of Jindal's hypocrisy on the stimulus.

Earlier this year, Gov. Jindal took credit for $19.5 million in Byrne/JAG grants funded at least in part by the stimulus bill, and three weeks ago, Jindal announced $7 million in stimulus act grants for Louisiana coastal restoration, saying "these funds will enable us to expand a groundbreaking coastal restoration project."

In that case, Jindal's office released a statement from The Nature Conservancy crediting the stimulus act. "We are very excited about this project being one of two Louisiana projects selected by NOAA for American Relief and Recovery Act funding," state director Dr. Keith Ouchley said.

In his response to the President's address to Congress, Jindal had complained about a similar program which funded volcano monitoring in Alaska.

Jindal also requested federal stimulus funding for a rail line between Baton Rouge and New Orleans after attacking the stimulus bill's investment in high-speed rail.

State Secrets or CIA Fraud?

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 04:36:58 PM PDT

The hits just keep coming against the CIA, and the case for serious investigations and reforms of the agency are getting stronger by the day. The latest is is a ruling unsealed yesterday from U.S. District Chief Judge Royce C. Lamberth, that "the CIA repeatedly misled him in asserting that state secrets were involved in a 15-year-old lawsuit involving allegedly illegal wiretapping."

The documents released Monday reveal a number of instances where Lamberth said the CIA misrepresented facts in the case, which was filed in 1994 by a former Drug Enforcement Agency officer who said his phone calls had been illegally intercepted while he was on duty in Burma.

The suit named a U.S. diplomat, Franklin Huddle Jr., and a CIA officer, Arthur Brown, as defendants. It had been under seal since it was filed, and former presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush had sought its dismissal on national security grounds.

Lamberth said the agency refused to make the "basic acknowledgement" that the spy agency possesses eavesdropping equipment, even though this is information quickly available through a "public online encyclopedia."

Lamberth also said that an unclassified declaration by Panetta "appears to significantly conflict with his classified declaration" over whether CIA eavesdropping technology is publicly known.

In addition, he noted that a declaration by Tenet was never updated after the relevant facts changed.

The issue that angered him most, however, was the CIA's failure to reveal that Brown, once undercover, had had his cover lifted in 2002. That fact wasn't revealed until 2008.

Lamberth concluded that the CIA's attorneys engaged in a "fraud on the court" by not revealing that Brown's name no longer needed to be kept secret. In fact, Lambert had dismissed the case in 2004, citing Brown's undercover status. An appeals court overturned that decision.

"The CIA was well-aware that the assertion of the state secrets privilege as to Brown was a key strategy in getting the case dismissed," Lamberth stated in a previously sealed Feb. 6 ruling, adding that the "misconduct by the government . . . (raises) very serious implications."

Lamberth, who was presiding judge of the FISC court from 1995-2002, ruled on another critical CIA case last fall, in which he decided on the presumption that the CIA was arguing in "good faith" that "CIA can hide statements from imprisoned suspected terrorists that the agency tortured them in its set of secret prisons." That was a FOIA case in which the ACLU was attempting to get unredacted statements from so-called High Value Detainees such as 9/11 plotter Khalid Sheihk Muhammed that the CIA kidnapped and tortured them. I wonder if Lamberth is wishing he could take that ruling back, now.

The CIA lies. It lies to Congress. It lies to judges. It has always lied and it always will, unless something very serious is done by Congress and the White House to rein it in. Now that a highly respected federal judge has ruled that it committed fraud against the court, it might even happen.

But until then, it appears that the Coen brothers depiction of the agency is spot on.

(Marcy and bmaz have excellent detailed posts on this case.)

Democrats for Life (without Contraception) Boot Tim Ryan

Tue Jul 21, 2009 at 04:00:04 PM PDT

Democrats for Life has, in the words of Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH), "booted" him from their national advisory board. Why? Well, Ryan and Connecticut's Rosa DeLauro are sponsoring the "Preventing Unintended Pregnancies, Reducing the Need for Abortion and Supporting Parents Act" (summary via email).

Prevention: Almost half of all pregnancies are unintended and four-in-ten unintended pregnancies end in abortion. Policies in the bill that help prevent unintended pregnancy include:

  • Grants for Teen Pregnancy Prevention Comprehensive Education (encouraging teens to delay sexual activity and providing age appropriate, factually and medically accurate and complete contraceptive information for teens)

  • Support for After-School Programs

  • Teen Pregnancy Prevention Incentive Grants

  • Grants to Encourage Creative Approaches to Teen Pregnancy Prevention

  • A National Initiative to Enlist Parents in Preventing Teen Pregnancy

  • Grants to Prevent Unplanned Pregnancy Among Community College Students

  • Restoration of Medicaid Entitlement to Coverage of Family Planning Services

  • Expanded Coverage of Family Planning under Medicaid for Low-Income Women

  • Increased Support for the Nation’s Title X Family Planning Program

  • Grants for Home Visits by Trained Home Visitors for Low-Income Families (to include contraceptive counseling)

Support: One of the two most common reasons women report having an abortion is that they cannot afford a child. Policies in the bill that support pregnant women who wish to carry their pregnancies to term and assist new families include:

  • Expanded Medicaid and CHIP Coverage of Mothers and Children (including expanded postpartum coverage and increased CHIP income eligibility for children)

  • Coverage of Maternity Care

  • Improved Access to Prenatal Ultrasounds

  • A Domestic Violence and Sexual Assault Prevention Program for Women

  • Increased Support for Pregnant and Parenting Students

  • Grants for a National Information Campaign on Adoption

  • Expanded Adoption Tax Credit Assistance

  • Increased Support for the WIC Program (extending certification periods for children, promoting and supporting breastfeeding, and increasing WIC funding)

  • Expanded Nutritional Support for Low-Income Parents

  • Increased Funding for the Child Care and Development Block Grant Program

  • Grants for Home Visits by Trained Home Visitors for Low-Income Families (to include contraceptive counseling)

  • A Public Awareness Campaign Regarding Resources Available to New Parents

What it boils down to is that Ryan is not an acceptable Democrat for Life because he supports contraception.

"We’re working in Congress with groups that agree with preventative options while [the DFLA] is getting left behind," Ryan said. "I can’t figure out for the life of me how to stop pregnancies without contraception. Don’t be mad at me for wanting to solve the problem."

--snip--

Ryan said he tried to convince officials with Democrats For Life of America, which he referred to Monday as a "fringe group," that the use of contraception is needed as part of any plan to reduce unintended pregnancies but that failed.

And make no mistake about it -- opposition to contraception is a fringe position. Among women who have ever had intercourse, 98% have used contraception, while among "fertile, sexually active women who do not want to become pregnant," 89% are using contraceptives, for a total of 62% of all women between the ages of 15 and 44.

I disagree with Ryan's position on abortion, but his support for measures to decrease unwanted pregnancies is one that can actually get us somewhere -- reducing abortions not by making them expensive, difficult, and frightening to get but by reducing unplanned pregnancies. This is a position that finds true common ground. How common? Planned Parenthood and Jim Wallis have signed on as supporters of this bill. NARAL and churches and religious leaders and theologians. That "Democrats for Life" rejects that common ground in favor of a radical anti-contraception agenda is telling, and counterproductive.


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On Mothertalkers:

CDC: Teen Pregnancy and STDs on the Rise

Wednesday Morning Open Thread

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